Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Commentary (Updated: April 11, 2024): Emma Stone is on track to potentially become the first individual not named Helen to clinch both an Oscar and an Emmy in the same calendar year.
Fresh from securing her second best actress Oscar for her role in Yorgos Lanthimos’ sci-fi comedy “Poor Things,” Stone’s standout performance in Showtime’s “The Curse,” opposite Nathan Fielder, positions her to emulate the achievements of Helen Hunt and Helen Mirren, the only women to have won both prestigious film and TV awards within the same calendar year. However, Stone faces stiff competition, notably from “The Morning Show” stars Jennifer Aniston and Reese Witherspoon, who, despite their strong performances on the Apple series, have never been jointly nominated or won.
Imelda Staunton, previously overlooked for “The Crown,” returns in its concluding season with strong prospects, possibly contributing to a triumphant night for the royal drama.
Additionally, the TV Academy might lean towards new talents like Carrie Coon, whose exceptional performance in “The Leftovers” went unrecognized, now shining in “The Gilded Age,” and Maya Erskine, whose delightful presence in “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” is undeniable.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
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Image Credit: David Lee/Prime Video And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer and Series 1 Jennifer Aniston –“The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 2 Emma Stone — “The Curse” (Showtime) 3 Imelda Staunton — “The Crown” (Netflix) 4 Reese Witherspoon –“The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 5 Carrie Coon — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 6 Maya Erskine — “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series -
Image Credit: Suzanne Tenner / Lucasfilm Ltd. Next in Line
Rank Performer and Series 7 Rosario Dawson — “Ahsoka” (Disney+) 8 Ella Purnell — “Fallout” (Prime Video) 9 Carrie Preston — “Elsbeth” (CBS) 10 Juliette Binoche — “The New Look” (Apple TV+) 11 Mariska Hargitay — “Law and Order: SVU” (NBC) 12 Rosamund Pike — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video) 13 Jess Hong — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 14 Rebecca Ferguson — “Silo” (Apple TV+) 15 Sinclair Daniel — “The Other Black Girl” (Hulu) Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series -
Image Credit: Lynsey Addario/Paramount+ Also in Contention
Rank Performer and Series 16 Ruth Wilson — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime) 17 Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX) 18 Caitríona Balfe — “Outlander” (Starz) 19 Angela Bassett — “9-1-1” (ABC) 20 Noomi Rapace — “Constellation” (Apple TV+) 21 Zoe Saldaña — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+) 22 Sonequa Martin-Green — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+) 23 Shanola Hampton — “Found” (NBC) 24 Danai Gurira — “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC) 25 Melissa Benoist — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max) Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series -
Eligible Performances (Lead Drama Actress)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Elizabeth Fisher/CBS **The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.
- Angela Bassett — “9-1-1” (ABC)
- Danai Gurira — “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)
- Alisha Boe — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
- Kristine Froseth — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
- Noomi Rapace — “Constellation” (Apple TV+)
- Anna Sawai — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
- Juliette Binoche — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
- Rebecca Ferguson — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
- Carrie Preston — “Elsbeth” (CBS)
- Queen Latifah — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
- Rosario Dawson — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
- Angela Bassett — “9-1-1” (Fox)
- Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
- Sinclair Daniel — “The Other Black Girl” (Hulu)
- Carrie Coon — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Melissa Benoist — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
- Shanola Hampton — “Found” (NBC)
- Mariska Hargitay — “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)
- Jess Hong — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
- Imelda Staunton — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Zoe Saldaña — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
- Sonequa Martin-Green — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
- Roma Downey — “The Baxters” (Prime Video)
- Ella Purnell — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
- Maya Erskine — “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)
- Lili Taylor — “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
- Rosamund Pike — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
- “With Love” (Prime Video)
- “Billions” Showtime)
- “The Curse” (Showtime)
- Ruth Wilson — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
- Caitríona Balfe — “Outlander” (Starz)
- Jennifer Tilly — “Chucky” (Syfy)
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More Information
Image Credit: Robert Wilson/Starz 2023 category winner: Sarah Snook as Shiv Roy — “Succession” (HBO) — Season 4
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
- Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
- Feb. 29: Submissions open
- May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
- June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
- June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
- June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
- July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
- July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
- August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
- August 15: Final-round voting begins.
- August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
- Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
- Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Awards Predictions
Other Awards Predictions
Talk Series Reality Competition Program Animated Program Scripted Variety Game Show Character Voice-Over Performance Variety Special (Live) Host for a Reality or Competition Program Narrator Variety Special (Pre-Recorded) Structured Reality Documentary (Series) Directing (Series, Special) Unstructured Reality Documentary (Special) Writing (Series, Special) Directing (Reality Program) Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special) Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision) Main Title Design Writing (Nonfiction) Short Form Series Short Form (Actor/Actress) Exceptional Merit About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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