Twelve of the 26 members of the cabinet who are running for re-election are at risk of losing their seats, according to a YouGov poll commissioned by Sky News.
The survey suggests the United Kingdom is on the cusp of a major redrawing of the political landscape, with Labour on course to win a historic landslide and an enormous 194-seat majority.
But delving deeper into the numbers, it appears several high profile Conservative MPs will lose their seats, if the election does indeed end up being the worst Tory rout since 1906.
They could all follow in the footsteps of Michael Portillo, the Tory minister who was famously unseated as Tony Blair swept to power in 1997.
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“These are some of the biggest names in our politics,” deputy political editor Sam Coates said as he presented the findings on Sky News.
“Every single one of these, right now, is projected on course to lose at the general election.”
He added: “Tory MPs are getting more and more nervous by the day.”
Read more:
Tories face near wipeout, YouGov poll suggests
Tory support ‘falls most in areas where it was previously highest’
Panic will spread through Tory ranks
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If the poll reflects reality in July, the 12 names Sam described as being in “deep, deep trouble” are:
Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, set to lose Godalming and Ash seat to the Liberal Democrats by 15 points
Grant Shapps, the defence secretary, set to lose Welwyn Hatfield to Labour by 18 points
Penny Mordaunt, the Commons leader, would lose Portsmouth North to Labour by five points
Mark Harper, transport secretary, would lose Forest of Dean to Labour by four points
Alex Chalk, the justice secretary, set to lose Cheltenham by 31 points
Mel Stride, work and pensions secretary, set to lose Central Devon to Labour by one point
Jonny Mercer, defence minister, set to lose Plymouth Moor View to Labour by 11 points
Esther McVey, minister without portfolio, would lose Tatton Labour by one point
Gillian Keegan, education secretary, would lose Chichester to the Lib Dems by five points
Simon Hart, chief whip, would lose Caerfyrddin to Labour by nine points
David T C Davies, the Welsh secretary, would lose Monmouthshire to Labour by 11 points
Victoria Prentis, the attorney general, may lose Banbury to Labour by six points
Source Agencies
