Early results from Iran’s presidential election are showing a see-sawing lead between reformist Masoud Pezeshkian and hard-liner Saeed Jalili, with a runoff vote appearing likely.
Reports on Iranian state television did not initially put either man in a position to win Friday’s election outright, potentially setting the stage for a runoff election to replace the hardline president Ebrahim Raisi, .
It also did not offer any turnout figures for the race yet — a crucial component of whether Iran’s electorate backs its Shiite theocracy after years of economic turmoil and mass protests.
Critics of Iran’s clerical rule say that low voter turnouts in recent years showed the system’s legitimacy has eroded.
Turnout was 48 per cent in the 2021 presidential election and a record low of 41 per cent of people voted in a parliamentary election in March.
In the past few weeks, Iranians have made wide use of the hashtag #ElectionCircus on X, with some activists at home and abroad calling for a boycott, saying a high turnout would only serve to legitimise the Islamic Republic.
After counting over 12 million votes, Pezeshkian had 5.3 million while Jalili held 4.8 million.
Another candidate, hardline speaker of the parliament Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, had some 1.6 million votes.
Shiite cleric Mostafa Pourmohammadi had more than 95,000 votes.
Voters faced a choice between the three hardline candidates and the little-known reformist Pezeshkian, a heart surgeon.
Masoud Pezeshkian is the sole reformist candidate in Iran’s presidential elections. Source: AAP / Majid Khahi/AP
As has been the case since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, women and those calling for radical change have been barred from running, while the vote itself will have no oversight from internationally recognised monitors.
While the election is unlikely to bring a major shift in the Islamic Republic’s policies since Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei calls the shots on top state matters, the president runs the government day-to-day and can influence the tone of Iran’s foreign and domestic policy.
The voting came as wider tensions have gripped the Middle East over the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip.
In April, Iran launched its first-ever direct attack on Israel over the war in Gaza, while militia groups armed by Tehran in the region — such as the Lebanese Hezbollah and Yemen’s Houthi rebels — are engaged in the fighting and have escalated their attacks.
Iran continues to enrich uranium at near weapons-grade levels and maintains a stockpile large enough to build — should it choose to do so — several nuclear weapons.
There had been calls for an election boycott, including from imprisoned Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi.
Iran’s clerical establishment needed a high voter turnout to offset a legitimacy crisis, but activists encouraged a boycott of the elections. Source: AAP / Stringer/EPA
Mir Hossein Mousavi, one of the leaders of the 2009 Green Movement protests who remains under house arrest, also has refused to vote with his wife, his daughter said.
There’s been criticism that Pezeshkian represents just another government-approved candidate.
Iranian law requires that a winner gets more than 50 per cent of all votes cast. If that doesn’t happen, the race’s top two candidates will advance to a runoff a week later.
There’s been only one runoff presidential election in Iran’s history: in 2005, when hardliner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad bested former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani.
The 63-year-old Raisi died in the May 19 helicopter crash that also killed the country’s foreign minister and others.
He was seen as a protégé of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and a potential successor.
Still, many knew him for his involvement in the mass executions that Iran conducted in 1988, and for his role in the bloody crackdowns on dissent that followed protests , a young woman detained by police over allegedly improperly wearing the mandatory headscarf, or hijab.
Pezeshkian is faithful to Iran’s theocratic rule, but advocates detente with the West, economic reform, social liberalisation and political pluralism.
“We will respect the hijab law, but there should never be any intrusive or inhumane behaviour toward women,” Pezeshkian said after casting his vote, referring to Amini.
With reporting by Reuters.
