Forecast is great for the grass — and mosquitoes – MASHAHER

After the bone-dry June we had in the Cape Fear region, I promised I’d never complain about too much rain again.

But if this pattern keeps up much longer, I’ll be dang close to it.

A combination of stalled boundaries and a super-saturated southwest flow continues to bring copious rainfall to the Carolinas, with the Fayetteville area averaging about 2.5 inches of rain. Elsewhere, some spots in the Cape Fear region have topped 6 inches in the past week.

It’s been great for the gardens and grass and heaven on Earth for mosquitoes — and it shows no sign of stopping for the next few days.

Here’s the setup

The frontal boundary that arrived late last week has dissolved. However, nothing has pushed the remnants out of the area, so weak energy impulses continue to track along its path.

The daily rainfall has kept conditions from becoming severe, so the main issue has been local, heavy cloudbursts. However, it appears parts of the region will see an increased chance for strong to severe storms by mid-week.

Just where the best opportunity for strong weather pops up hinges on where the clouds burn off. Afternoon heating will enhance the chances for storms while lingering clouds help keep conditions stable.

Fayetteville will likely see showers again Monday with a high of about 85. Overnight lows will likely hold in the mid-70s.

Tuesday looks a bit rougher, with more afternoon heating across the region. There’s plenty of water in the atmosphere (PWAT levels are running above 2.25 inches) and afternoon temperatures could push closer to 90 degrees in Fayetteville. Another weak impulse is expected to pass in the afternoon, triggering widespread showers and storms.

The pattern is expected to linger Wednesday and Thursday, with highs Wednesday again near 90. The heat index could climb back into triple digits, providing fuel for more strong storms.

Thursday will be back in the mid-80s, due to cloud cover. By Friday, we’ll be watching an approaching cold front pushing south into the Carolinas. How quickly it arrives and how strong it pushes will determine how wet the weekend will be.

For now, keep an umbrella handy — and it might be a good idea to stock up on mosquito spray, too.

Got a weather question? Chick Jacobs can be reached at [email protected] or NCWeatherhound on X/Twitter.

This article originally appeared on The Fayetteville Observer: Weather Permitting: Forecast for Fayetteville NC the week of July 22