Week 2 Expected Points: Kyren Williams still a bell cow back – MASHAHER

ISLAM GAMAL13 September 2024Last Update :
Week 2 Expected Points: Kyren Williams still a bell cow back – MASHAHER


Last season, I published a weekly expected points article right here at Rotoworld and touched on some players whose expected fantasy points suggested there was more to be had than their final line for the week. For example, Jaleel McLaughlin, who finished Week 1 as the RB36 in PPR leagues with 7.8 fantasy points, was the RB26 in expected fantasy points, thanks in part to solid opportunities in the passing game.

For those unfamiliar, expected points apply point values to players’ opportunities based on a number of factors such as down, distance, and where they were on the field when they received said opportunities. Players can then score above or below their expected points based on what they do with their opportunities — which we know as fantasy points over expected.

In hopes of pinpointing some deeper plays to make on a week-to-week basis, I’ll utilize what we’ve seen in expected points to highlight some players who could be slept on heading into upcoming weeks.

Under each position, I will also provide tables of expected fantasy points from the previous week, sorted by the most to the fewest expected fantasy points.

On a normal week, I would do a full write up of a handful of players I like at each position based on expected fantasy points. This week, however, is thankfully not a “normal” week by life standards, as my wife and I have welcomed our first child into the family. Everyone is doing great. With that said, the expected points from Week 1 for 50 RBs, 50 WRs, and 15 TEs can be found below. I look forward to taking a more in-depth look at expected points ahead of Week 3!

Stats and information courtesy of PFF.comRotoViz.comProFootballReference.comNextGenStats.NFL.com4For4.comFantasyPoints.com and RBSDM.com. All scoring is based on full-PPR leagues.

Running Backs

Week 1 Expected Points

Player

Team

EP

FPOE

PPR

Joe Mixon

HOU

24.2

2.6

26.8

Alvin Kamara

NO

20.1

1.9

22.0

Jahmyr Gibbs

DET

19.9

-2.5

17.4

De’Von Achane

MIA

19.6

3.4

23.0

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE

18.9

2.7

21.6

Saquon Barkley

PHI

18.8

14.4

33.2

Breece Hall

NYJ

18.4

1.9

20.3

Rachaad White

TB

18.4

-1.8

16.6

Kyren Williams

LAR

18.1

-3.7

14.4

Jerome Ford

CLE

17.6

1.3

18.9

Jordan Mason

SF

17.4

4.8

22.2

Josh Jacobs

GB

17.1

-4.7

12.4

James Conner

ARI

16.7

2.6

19.3

Bijan Robinson

ATL

15.7

0.4

16.1

James Cook

BUF

14.9

-1.6

13.3

Brian Robinson Jr

WAS

14.8

3.1

17.9

Kenneth Walker III

SEA

14.4

4.5

18.9

Isiah Pacheco

KC

14.1

1.7

15.8

Najee Harris

PIT

14.1

-5.2

8.9

Justice Hill

BAL

13.5

-2

11.5

Jonathan Taylor

IND

13.5

-2.7

10.8

Tony Pollard

TEN

13.2

5.2

18.4

David Montgomery

DET

13.2

3.1

16.3

Travis Etienne

JAC

12.2

1.7

13.9

Devin Singletary

NYG

12.1

-2.9

9.2

Jaleel McLaughlin

DEN

12

-4.2

7.8

Aaron Jones

MIN

11.9

7

18.9

Zack Moss

CIN

11.1

3

14.1

Alexander Mattison

LV

10.5

5.7

16.2

Ezekiel Elliott

DAL

10.3

2.6

12.9

JK Dobbins

LAC

10.2

12.7

22.9

Derrick Henry

BAL

10.1

0.5

10.6

Gus Edwards

LAC

9

-5.2

3.8

Zamir White

LV

8.8

-2.2

6.6

Ty Chandler

MIN

8.5

-1.3

7.2

Bucky Irving

TB

8.4

1.2

9.6

Javonte Williams

DEN

7.9

-4.6

3.3

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

7.8

4.3

12.1

Austin Ekeler

WAS

7.4

2.8

10.2

Tyjae Spears

TEN

7

0.2

7.2

D’Andre Swift

CHI

6.9

-1.9

5.0

Raheem Mostert

MIA

6.8

-2.9

3.9

Jamaal Williams

NO

6.5

5.6

12.1

Chase Brown

CIN

5.7

-0.4

5.3

Emanuel Wilson

GB

5.6

1.2

6.8

Pierre Strong Jr

CLE

5.5

-0.5

5.0

Tank Bigsby

JAC

5.4

1.9

7.3

Rico Dowdle

DAL

5.2

-1

4.2

Tyrone Tracy Jr

NYG

5

-3.3

1.7

Miles Sanders

CAR

4.4

-2.2

2.2

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Wide Receivers

Week 1 Expected Points

Player

Team

EP

FPOE

PPR

Cooper Kupp

LAR

40.3

-8.3

32.0

Deebo Samuel

SF

22.2

-3.5

18.7

Keenan Allen

CHI

20.5

-13.6

6.9

Wan’Dale Robinson

NYG

20

-8.2

11.8

Garrett Wilson

NYJ

19.2

-7.2

12.0

Courtland Sutton

DEN

19

-11.2

7.8

Zay Flowers

BAL

18.8

-7.7

11.1

CeeDee Lamb

DAL

17.7

-4.1

13.6

Tyreek Hill

MIA

16.4

9.6

26.0

Stefon Diggs

HOU

15.8

6.1

21.9

AJ Brown

PHI

15.7

7.2

22.9

Allen Lazard

NYJ

15.5

11.4

26.9

Jameson Williams

DET

15.3

9.1

24.4

Amari Cooper

CLE

15.1

-11.5

3.6

Tank Dell

HOU

14.7

-5.8

8.9

Jerry Jeudy

CLE

14

-2.5

11.5

Rashee Rice

KC

13.5

3.8

17.3

Chris Godwin

TB

13.4

8.9

22.3

Greg Dortch

ARI

13.3

-2.2

11.1

DJ Moore

CHI

13.2

-3.2

10.0

Ladd McConkey

LAC

13.1

1.8

14.9

Romeo Doubs

GB

12.8

-3.8

9.0

Diontae Johnson

CAR

12.7

-8.8

3.9

George Pickens

PIT

12.6

0.9

13.5

Josh Reynolds

DEN

12.6

-3.1

9.5

Mike Evans

TB

12.6

10.5

23.1

DeVonta Smith

PHI

12.4

3

15.4

Devaughn Vele

DEN

12.3

-0.4

11.9

Michael Pittman Jr

IND

12.3

-5.2

7.1

Demarcus Robinson

LAR

12.1

-3.9

8.2

Xavier Legette

CAR

12

-4.5

7.5

Justin Jefferson

MIN

11.7

4.2

15.9

Nico Collins

HOU

11.7

6

17.7

Brandin Cooks

DAL

11.4

3.1

14.5

KJ Osborn

NE

11.2

-6.1

5.1

Tyler Johnson

LAR

11.2

1.7

12.9

Jayden Reed

GB

11

22.1

33.1

Christian Watson

GB

10.9

-0.6

10.3

Malik Nabers

NYG

10.9

0.7

11.6

Ray-Ray McCloud

ATL

10.9

-1.7

9.2

Amon-Ra St Brown

DET

10.7

-6.4

4.3

Calvin Ridley

TEN

10.5

-2.5

8.0

Tyler Boyd

TEN

10.4

-5.6

4.8

Tyler Lockett

SEA

10.4

3.3

13.7

Andrei Iosivas

CIN

9.8

-4.2

5.6

Elijah Moore

CLE

9.5

-5.6

3.9

Keon Coleman

BUF

9.4

-0.3

9.1

Davante Adams

LV

9.1

1.8

10.9

Jauan Jennings

SF

9

2.4

11.4

Ja’Marr Chase

CIN

8.9

3.3

12.2

Tight Ends

Week 1 Expected Points

Player

Team

EP

FPOE

PPR

Isaiah Likely

BAL

20.2

5.9

26.1

Trey McBride

ARI

15.8

-7.8

8.0

Brock Bowers

LV

11.4

0.4

11.8

Jake Ferguson

DAL

9.8

-5.3

4.5

Sam LaPorta

DET

9

-0.5

8.5

Kyle Pitts

ATL

8.1

3.5

11.6

Foster Moreau

NO

8

6.3

14.3

George Kittle

SF

8

0

8

David Njoku

CLE

7.5

0.9

8.4

Dallas Goedert

PHI

7.4

-0.3

7.1

Mike Gesicki

CIN

7.1

-2.3

4.8

Jordan Akins

CLE

6.9

-1.2

5.7

Colby Parkinson

LAR

6.5

2.2

8.7

Noah Fant

SEA

6.3

-3.2

3.1

Evan Engram

JAC

6.3

-4.8

1.5


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