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BROWNLOW LIVE: The 2024 count as it happens with live updates
RED CARPET SPECIAL: The best pics from Brownlow night
ULTIMATE GUIDE: Everything you need to know about the 2024 Brownlow
THE NUMBERS: Two-man thriller looms but AFL stats gurus name clear favourite, dark horse
CLUB-BY-CLUB: Every team’s chances analysed… and their best bet to take home the medal
FAVOURITES: Four-horse race broken down – and who wins as every three-vote game predicted
ROUND-BY-ROUND: When every favourite and dark horse will strike
CRYSTAL BALL: Experts predict superstar to pip fellow fave; big dark horse to watch
LIVE BROWNLOW LEADERBOARD – After Round 5
10 – Christian Petracca MEL
9 – Caleb Serong FRE, Matt Rowell GC
8 – Chad Warner SYD, Patrick Cripps CAR, Isaac Heeney* SYD, Tom Green GWS, Connor Rozee PA
7 – Tom Liberatore* WB, Tanner Bruhn GEE
Analysis after Round 5
Patrick Cripps off to a flyer, well ahead of Nick Daicos (3) and the firm favourite right now. Still looks like a two-horse race though. Isaac Heeney despite being tied for third is well behind expectations, with Chad Warner doing the most damage taking votes off him, while Marcus Bontempelli missed obvious votes in Round 2 as Tom Liberatore overperforms. Caleb Serong the best-performing dark horse.
OPENING ROUND
SYDNEY 86 def MELBOURNE 64
3 – Ch Warner SYD
2 – J Viney MEL
1 – N Blakey SYD
BRISBANE 85 def by CARLTON 86
3 – H McKay CAR
2 – C Curnow CAR
1 – H Andrews BL
GOLD COAST 99 def RICHMOND 60
3 – M Rowell GC
2 – N Anderson GC
1 – B King GC
GWS 114 def COLLINGWOOD 82
3 – T Green GWS
2 – C Brown GWS
1 – S Coniglio GWS
ROUND 1
CARLTON 86 def RICHMOND 81
3 – P Cripps CAR
2 – M McGovern CAR
1 – N Balta RIC
COLLINGWOOD 69 def by SYDNEY 102
3 – Ch Warner SYD
2 – I Heeney SYD
1 – E Gulden SYD
ESSENDON 107 def HAWTHORN 83
3 – A Perkins ESS
2 – A McGrath ESS
1 – J Worpel HAW
GWS 121 def NORTH MELBOURNE 82
3 – J Hogan GWS
2 – T Green GWS
1 – J Kelly GWS
GEELONG 76 def ST KILDA 68
3 – R Marshall STK
2 – T Bruhn GEE
1 – P Dangerfield GEE
GOLD COAST 60 def ADELAIDE 54
3 – M Rowell GC
2 – T Miller GC
1 – C Ballard GC
MELBOURNE 109 def WESTERN BULLDOGS 64
3 – C Oliver MEL
2 – M Gawn MEL
1 – C Petracca MEL
PORT ADELAIDE 120 def WEST COAST 70
3 – C Rozee PA
2 – O Wines PA
1 – C Dixon PA
FREMANTLE 93 def BRISBANE 70
3 – C Serong FRE
2 – L Ryan FRE
1 – L Jackson FRE
ROUND 2
ST KILDA 94 def COLLINGWOOD 79
3 – N Wanganeen-Milera STK
2 – R Marshall STK
1 – J Higgins STK
ADELAIDE 77 def by GEELONG 96
3 – T Stewart GEE
2 – G Miers GEE
1 – M Crouch ADE
NORTH MELBOURNE 76 def by FREMANTLE 102
3 – C Serong FRE
2 – H Sheezel NM
1 – A Brayshaw FRE
HAWTHORN 38 def by MELBOURNE 93
3 – C Petracca MEL
2 – B Fritsch MEL
1 – J Viney MEL
SYDNEY 131 def ESSENDON 101
3 – I Heeney SYD
2 – T Papley SYD
1 – Ch Warner SYD
WESTERN BULLDOGS 115 def GOLD COAST 67
3 – T Liberatore WB
2 – C Weightman WB
1 – R Sanders WB
RICHMOND 92 def by PORT ADELAIDE 122
3 – O Wines PA
2 – T Marshall PA
1 – S Bolton RIC
WEST COAST 43 def by GWS 108
3 – T Green GWS
2 – S Taylor GWS
1 – K Briggs GWS
ROUND 3
BRISBANE 72 def by COLLINGWOOD 92
3 – J Elliott COL
2 – N Daicos COL
1 – L Neale BL
NORTH MELBOURNE 81 def by CARLTON 137
3 – P Cripps CAR
2 – H McKay CAR
1 – G Hewett CAR
FREMANTLE 69 def ADELAIDE 34
3 – H Young FRE
2 – A Pearce FRE
1 – L Ryan FRE
ESSENDON 71 def ST KILDA 67
3 – N Martin ESS
2 – S Ross STK
1 – K Langford ESS
PORT ADELAIDE 89 def by MELBOURNE 96
3 – C Petracca MEL
2 – M Gawn MEL
1 – C Rozee PA
WESTERN BULLDOGS 106 def WEST COAST 30
3 – A Treloar WB
2 – M Bontempelli WB
1 – A Naughton WB
RICHMOND 82 def SYDNEY 77
3 – T Taranto RIC
2 – S Bolton RIC
1 – Ch Warner SYD
HAWTHORN 70 def by GEELONG 106
3 – T Bruhn GEE
2 – J Worpel HAW
1 – O Henry GEE
ROUND 4
ADELAIDE 63 def by MELBOURNE 78
3 – C Petracca MEL
2 – B Fritsch MEL
1 – M Crouch ADE
BRISBANE 112 def NORTH MELBOURNE 42
3 – J Daniher BL
2 – H McCluggage BL
1 – L Neale BL
PORT ADELAIDE 111 def ESSENDON 42
3 – C Rozee PA
2 – J Horne-Francis PA
1 – Z Butters PA
WEST COAST 78 def by SYDNEY 104
3 – I Heeney SYD
2 – E Gulden SYD
1 – H Reid WC
FREMANTLE 63 def by CARLTON 73
3 – C Serong FRE
2 – P Cripps CAR
1 – A Brayshaw FRE
WESTERN BULLDOGS 91 def by GEELONG 95
3 – T Liberatore WB
2 – A Treloar WB
1 – J Cameron GEE
GOLD COAST 89 def by GWS 117
3 – T Greene GWS
2 – J Hogan GWS
1 – M Rowell GC
RICHMOND 60 def by ST KILDA 67
3 – C Wilkie STK
2 – S Ross STK
1 – T Nankervis RIC
COLLINGWOOD 77 def HAWTHORN 72
3 – J De Goey COL
2 – J Newcombe HAW
1 – N Daicos COL
ROUND 5
MELBOURNE 60 def by BRISBANE 82
3 – J Dunkley
2 – H McCluggage
1 – C Rayner BL
WESTERN BULLDOGS 67 def by ESSENDON 96
3 – Z Merrett ESS
2 – N Martin ESS
1 – T Liberatore WB
GWS 80 def ST KILDA 79
3 – B Hill STK
2 – L Whitfield GWS
1 – J Steele STK
CARLTON 98 def by ADELAIDE 100
3 – S Walsh CAR
2 – J Soligo ADE
1 – I Rankine ADE
PORT ADELAIDE 66 def FREMANTLE 63
3 – Z Butters PA
2 – L Ryan FRE
1 – C Rozee PA
GOLD COAST 109 def HAWTHORN 56
3 – N Anderson GC
2 – M Rowell GC
1 – B King GC
GEELONG 139 def NORTH MELBOURNE 64
3 – J Cameron GEE
2 – T Bruhn GEE
1 – B Close GEE
WEST COAST 109 def RICHMOND 70
3 – J Waterman WC
2 – T Kelly WC
1 – E Yeo WC
ROUND 6
ST KILDA 64 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 124
3 – A Naughton WB
2 – A Treloar WB
1 – M Bontempelli WB
ADELAIDE 75 def by ESSENDON 78
3 – Z Merrett ESS
2 – N Martin ESS
1 – J Dawson ADE
COLLINGWOOD 123 def PORT ADELAIDE 81
3 – P Lipinski COL
2 – J De Goey COL
1 – N Daicos COL
CARLTON 117 def GWS 98
3 – P Cripps CAR
2 – S Walsh CAR
1 – T Green GWS
BRISBANE 37 def by GEELONG 63
3 – Z Guthrie GEE
2 – M Holmes GEE
1 – D Zorko BL
WEST COAST 105 def FREMANTLE 68
3 – E Yeo WC
2 – H Reid WC
1 – J Waterman WC
SYDNEY 110 def GOLD COAST 57
3 – I Heeney SYD
2 – T Papley SYD
1 – Ch Warner SYD
NORTH MELBOURNE 68 def by HAWTHORN 113
3 – J Newcombe HAW
2 – C Nash HAW
1 – J Impey HAW
ROUND 7
RICHMOND 42 def by MELBOURNE 85
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 85 drew COLLINGWOOD 85
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 113 def BRISBANE 59
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 82 def ST KILDA 72
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 81 def by ADELAIDE 138
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 118 def CARLTON 105
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 95 def WESTERN BULLDOGS 71
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 112 def WEST COAST 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 42 def by SYDNEY 118
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 8
ADELAIDE 78 def PORT ADELAIDE 48
3 –
2 –
1 –
CARLTON 79 def by COLLINGWOOD 85
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 98 def GWS 69
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 103 def NORTH MELBOURNE 65
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 74 def GEELONG 66
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 71 def by ESSENDON 77
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 49 def by FREMANTLE 103
3 –
2 –
1 –
WESTERN BULLDOGS 91 def by HAWTHORN 98
3 –
2 –
1 –
BRISBANE 79 def GOLD COAST 45
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 9
CARLTON 77 def MELBOURNE 76
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 95 def by PORT ADELAIDE 101
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 39 def by SYDNEY 87
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 58 def ST KILDA 53
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 82 def GWS 62
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 120 def NORTH MELBOURNE 52
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 42 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 133
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 103 def WEST COAST 37
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 90 drew BRISBANE 90
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 10
GOLD COAST 164 def GEELONG 100
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 117 def CARLTON 65
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 78 def ADELAIDE 74
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 43 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 70
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 55 def by FREMANTLE 72
3 –
2 –
1 –
BRISBANE 163 def RICHMOND 44
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 106 def NORTH MELBOURNE 66
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 80 def HAWTHORN 79
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 105 def MELBOURNE 70
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 11
WESTERN BULLDOGS 88 def by SYDNEY 102
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 75 drew COLLINGWOOD 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
CARLTON 102 def GOLD COAST 73
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 48 def by PORT ADELAIDE 107
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 74 def by GWS 78
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 74 def by ESSENDON 86
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 100 def BRISBANE 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 100 def ST KILDA 62
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 137 def WEST COAST 38
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 12
PORT ADELAIDE 71 def by CARLTON 107
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 82 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 100
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 107 def ADELAIDE 80
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 68 def by ST KILDA 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 99 def RICHMOND 69
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 49 def by FREMANTLE 141
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 91 def ESSENDON 80
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 13
ADELAIDE 71 def by RICHMOND 79
3 –
2 –
1 –
WESTERN BULLDOGS 71 def by BRISBANE 114
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 85 def GWS 79
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 65 def by NORTH MELBOURNE 74
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 51 def GOLD COAST 48
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 112 def GEELONG 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 70 def by CARLTON 96
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 89 def MELBOURNE 51
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 14
BRISBANE 126 def ST KILDA 106
3 –
2 –
1 –
WESTERN BULLDOGS 149 def FREMANTLE 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 49 def by HAWTHORN 97
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 67 def by SYDNEY 109
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 118 def by COLLINGWOOD 119
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 73 def PORT ADELAIDE 51
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 15
CARLTON 138 def GEELONG 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 73 def by BRISBANE 152
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 75 def by SYDNEY 102
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 70 def NORTH MELBOURNE 67
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 122 def WEST COAST 92
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 85 def GOLD COAST 65
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 16
BRISBANE 86 def MELBOURNE 81
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 60 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 77
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 98 def by FREMANTLE 99
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 101 def COLLINGWOOD 90
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 94 def GWS 78
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 105 def ESSENDON 60
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 60 def by PORT ADELAIDE 62
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 70 def by CARLTON 131
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 33 def by HAWTHORN 94
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 17
COLLINGWOOD 80 def by ESSENDON 92
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 102 def WESTERN BULLDOGS 54
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 87 def GOLD COAST 83
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 110 def HAWTHORN 59
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 116 def CARLTON 104
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 105 def RICHMOND 54
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 112 def WEST COAST 58
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 84 def SYDNEY 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
BRISBANE 97 def ADELAIDE 86
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 18
COLLINGWOOD 71 def by GEELONG 91
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 87 def FREMANTLE 74
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 138 def NORTH MELBOURNE 59
3 –
2 –
1 –
WESTERN BULLDOGS 100 def CARLTON 86
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 71 def ST KILDA 39
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 84 def ESSENDON 67
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 96 def PORT ADELAIDE 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 84 def by GWS 108
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 93 def by BRISBANE 106
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 19
ESSENDON 113 def by ADELAIDE 115
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 113 def WEST COAST 41
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 89 def GOLD COAST 50
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 133 def COLLINGWOOD 67
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 116 def RICHMOND 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 48 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 95
3 –
2 –
1 –
BRISBANE 79 def SYDNEY 77
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 116 def MELBOURNE 66
3 –
2 –
1 –
CARLTON 107 def NORTH MELBOURNE 88
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 20
CARLTON 65 def by PORT ADELAIDE 79
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 66 def by GEELONG 106
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 108 def ESSENDON 55
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 65 def by BRISBANE 93
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 83 def by GWS 85
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 110 def WEST COAST 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 93 def RICHMOND 67
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 48 def by WESTERN BULLDOGS 87
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 58 def by HAWTHORN 124
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 21
WESTERN BULLDOGS 110 def MELBOURNE 59
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 97 def GOLD COAST 87
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 90 def RICHMOND 77
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 90 def ADELAIDE 85
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 148 def SYDNEY 36
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 84 def CARLTON 81
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 84 def HAWTHORN 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 90 def FREMANTLE 89
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 39 def by BRISBANE 124
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 22
SYDNEY 89 def COLLINGWOOD 86
3 –
2 –
1 –
NORTH MELBOURNE 97 def by WEST COAST 102
3 –
2 –
1 –
BRISBANE 64 def by GWS 82
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 62 def by GEELONG 73
3 –
2 –
1 –
ESSENDON 86 def by GOLD COAST 87
3 –
2 –
1 –
MELBOURNE 51 def by PORT ADELAIDE 53
3 –
2 –
1 –
CARLTON 38 def by HAWTHORN 112
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 51 def by ST KILDA 99
3 –
2 –
1 –
ADELAIDE 111 def WESTERN BULLDOGS 72
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 23
ESSENDON 59 def by SYDNEY 98
3 –
2 –
1 –
GWS 101 def FREMANTLE 92
3 –
2 –
1 –
GOLD COAST 63 def by MELBOURNE 117
3 –
2 –
1 –
COLLINGWOOD 79 def BRISBANE 78
3 –
2 –
1 –
PORT ADELAIDE 80 def ADELAIDE 58
3 –
2 –
1 –
ST KILDA 107 def GEELONG 89
3 –
2 –
1 –
WESTERN BULLDOGS 138 def NORTH MELBOURNE 42
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 131 def RICHMOND 68
3 –
2 –
1 –
WEST COAST 34 def by CARLTON 99
3 –
2 –
1 –
ROUND 24
MELBOURNE 57 def by COLLINGWOOD 103
3 –
2 –
1 –
HAWTHORN 170 def NORTH MELBOURNE 46
3 –
2 –
1 –
GEELONG 168 def WEST COAST 75
3 –
2 –
1 –
RICHMOND 66 def by GOLD COAST 94
3 –
2 –
1 –
BRISBANE 87 def ESSENDON 67
3 –
2 –
1 –
SYDNEY 121 def ADELAIDE 90
3 –
2 –
1 –
WESTERN BULLDOGS 98 def GWS 61
3 –
2 –
1 –
CARLTON 74 def by ST KILDA 76
3 –
2 –
1 –
FREMANTLE 67 def by PORT ADELAIDE 87
3 –
2 –
1 –
Source Agencies
