TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — The disturbance near Florida is “likely to form” into a tropical depression as it moves northward across the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through next week, the National Hurricane Center said Sunday morning.
Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.
The system has a 70% chance of development over the next seven days, according to the NHC’s 8 a.m. update.
“The tropical wave in the NW Caribbean has yet to form but is expected to over the coming days either in this region or the southern Gulf of Mexico. Once it develops, it will be in a conducive environment for strengthening and could become a tropical depression and possibly a tropical storm as it moves north and then northeastward. We will closely monitor this as it may have impacts on the Bay Area late next week. For now, it has a 70% chance of development,” Max Defender 8 Meteorologist Eric Stone said.
“There’s one other wave in the central Atlantic that has a 20% chance of development, but this will move north into colder waters and not impact any land areas,” Stone said.
Located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, another area of low pressure is producing showers and thunderstorms. Though conditions aren’t favorable for development, the NHC said a “short-lived tropical depression can not be ruled out.”
The NHC is also monitoring the eastern tropical Atlantic as a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa over the next few days. Gradual development is possible after that and a tropical depression could form.
“Another wave is expected to move off the African coast in late Sunday or into Monday and has a good possibility of development as it moves through an environment conducive for development. It has a 40% chance to develop over the next several days,” Stone added.
This system has a 40% chance of formation over the next seven days.
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